Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion
Por um escritor misterioso
Last updated 15 julho 2024
What does chess rating tell us? How is it calculated and can it predict the next World Chess Champion?
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/ap309609327575.jpg?w=712)
Magnus Carlsen Is More Than An Odds-On Favorite To Win The World
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/2018CHESSCHAMP-1126-16x9.png?w=712)
Carlsen's Bizarre Decision Has Sent The World Chess Championship
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/2018CHESSCHAMP-1119-16x9.png?w=712)
One Bad Pawn Move Has Kept The World Chess Championship Deadlocked
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/d18dc62592f65b01622fe465e619d487b40babcc/0_286_4758_2855/master/4758.jpg?width=1200&height=630&quality=85&auto=format&fit=crop&overlay-align=bottom%2Cleft&overlay-width=100p&overlay-base64=L2ltZy9zdGF0aWMvb3ZlcmxheXMvdGctbGl2ZS5wbmc&s=9510d561e412ea684e581e056b581ccf)
Magnus Carlsen surprises Fabiano Caruana with draw offer in Game
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://e3.365dm.com/18/11/768x432/skynews-chess-magnus-carlsen_4502610.jpg?20181128171123)
Checkmate! Reigning champion Magnus Carlsen retains world chess
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_fit-1500w,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_48/2663041/181129-chess-caruana-mn-0830.jpg)
Magnus Carlsen defeats Fabiano Caruana to retain World Chess
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/3971cf0ad30436d9fabe19902b92f64b7560835e/0_0_938_807/master/938.jpg?width=465&dpr=1&s=none)
Magnus Carlsen misses winning chance in Game 9 draw with Fabiano
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://media2.s-nbcnews.com/i/MSNBC/Components/Video/201811/f_tov_chess_181128.jpg)
Magnus Carlsen defeats Fabiano Caruana to retain World Chess
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/eafb29dce975199af72ed8760f9c1227c1f7c61d/0_0_1435_810/master/1435.jpg?width=465&dpr=1&s=none)
Magnus Carlsen barely saves draw as Fabiano Caruana misses win in
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://images.chesscomfiles.com/uploads/v1/images_users/tiny_mce/PeterDoggers/phpySc3nr.jpeg)
Caruana: 'I Think My Chances Are About 50-50'
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